Estimate AI gross-margin inputs by account

AI economicsAdvanced

Estimate AI gross-margin inputs by account

How does accepted-output cost compare with successfully collected revenue for each account?

Join model costs and accepted outputs to billing results for each account. These costs are estimates. Check them against invoices.

Read-only SQL

WITH ai_usage AS (
  SELECT
    account_id,
    ROUND(SUM(estimated_cost_usd), 4) AS estimated_ai_cost_usd,
    SUM(CASE WHEN accepted THEN 1 ELSE 0 END) AS accepted_outputs
  FROM llm_requests
  WHERE status = 'success'
  GROUP BY account_id
),
collections AS (
  SELECT
    account_id,
    SUM(CASE
      WHEN event_name = 'invoice_paid' AND status = 'success'
      THEN amount_usd ELSE 0
    END) AS collected_usd
  FROM billing_events
  GROUP BY account_id
)
SELECT
  a.account_id,
  a.plan,
  COALESCE(collections.collected_usd, 0) AS collected_usd,
  usage.estimated_ai_cost_usd,
  usage.accepted_outputs,
  ROUND(
    usage.estimated_ai_cost_usd / NULLIF(usage.accepted_outputs, 0),
    4
  ) AS cost_per_accepted_output_usd,
  ROUND(
    100.0 * usage.estimated_ai_cost_usd
      / NULLIF(collections.collected_usd, 0),
    4
  ) AS ai_cost_pct_of_collected
FROM ai_usage AS usage
JOIN accounts AS a ON a.account_id = usage.account_id
LEFT JOIN collections ON collections.account_id = usage.account_id
ORDER BY usage.estimated_ai_cost_usd DESC, a.account_id;

The dataset and query remain in this browser.

Expected result

Estimated AI cost by account

Chart value

acct_delta

0.079 USD

acct_acme

0.05 USD

acct_beacon

0.021 USD

acct_ember

0.006 USD

acct_cinder

0.005 USD

acct_fjord

0.004 USD

account_id	plan	collected_usd	estimated_ai_cost_usd	accepted_outputs	cost_per_accepted_output_usd	ai_cost_pct_of_collected
acct_delta	growth	1,800	0.079	3	0.0263	0.0044
acct_acme	growth	2,400	0.05	2	0.025	0.0021
acct_beacon	business	1,200	0.021	1	0.021	0.0018
acct_ember	starter	0	0.006	0	—	—
acct_cinder	starter	0	0.005	0	—	—
acct_fjord	free	0	0.004	1	0.004	—

How to read the query

Model usage is reduced to one account row before the billing join.
Cost per accepted output counts outputs accepted in your product. A successful provider response does not count on its own.
Accounts with no collected revenue have a null cost percentage.

How to interpret the results

1Use versioned provider prices and reconcile estimates with provider invoices.
2Define accepted outcomes per feature and guard against missing feedback.
3Include non-model infrastructure and labor costs before claiming gross margin.

Keep the result

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Estimate AI gross-margin inputs by account